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Watch my interview with Edward O. Thorp here: https://youtu.be/CNvz91Jyzbg | Brought to you by Wealthfront automated investing (http://wealthfront.com/tim), Athletic Greens all-in-one nutritional supplement (https://athleticgreens.com/tim), and Eight Sleep’s Pod Pro Cover sleeping solution for dynamic cooling and heating (http://eightsleep.com/Tim).
Edward O. Thorp is the author of the bestseller Beat the Dealer, which transformed the game of blackjack. His subsequent book, Beat the Market, coauthored with Sheen T. Kassouf, influenced securities markets around the globe. He is also the author of A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street, How I Beat the Dealer and the Market.
Edward was one of the world’s best blackjack players and investors, and his hedge funds were profitable every year for 29 years. He lives in Newport Beach, California.
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Beat the dealer : a winning strategy for the game of twenty-one

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How \
How \”Beat the Dealer\” Author Ed Thorp Learned to Beat Blackjack

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Beat the Dealer

Citation preview

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AD righfi reserved under International and Pan-~CIO\ Copyright Conventions. Published in the United States by Randcim H~. Inc., New York. Distributed i~ Canada by Random – House of Canada Limited, Toronto. Originally pulllished by Random House, Inc., in 1966. The quotation from Paul ONeil’s

ankle in Ufo Magazine appears courtesy Lifo .Magazine @ 1964 Time Inc.

Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data

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Thorp, Edward 0. Beat the dealer. Reprint of the 1966 ed. Bibliography: p. 1. Blackjack (Game) I. Tide.

[GV129,.B,T5 1973) 795.4’2 72-8006 ISBN 0-394-70310-3 Manu&ctuted in the United States of America Vintage Books Edition, February 1966

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· Acknowledgments

I am. Indebted to Roger R. Baldwin, Wilbur E. Cantey. Herbert Maisel, and 1~ P. McDermott for making avale c ablo the computational details of their work on blackjack and to the M~T. Computation Center for making available an mM 704 computer. I wish to thank the many friends and colleagues who have mado valuable suggestions, particularly Protesson. Claude E. Sh8D110J1, Berthold Schweizer, Abo Sklar, an4 Elbert Walker. I am indebted to ViVian and James Thorp for the long hours they spent playing the part of “‘tho house.• For showing me ~y of the metboda and devices 1l8ecl by casinos in cheating and for &Wing me a largo amouDt of . pneral information on the world of gambling, I owe a great deal to Michael MacDougall. former special inYCStigitor for the Nevada Gaming Control Board, to some of the old-tim.o.· Nevada •coUDt” playen, and to a certain crooked Nmda · card mechanic. Conversations with a certain federal invcstiptor have given me a largo amount of information about -~ the iDside 1Ctivitit8 and the out-of-state c:onnectioM of .cel’o tain Nevada casinos. Last, but not least, I wish to thaDt tho two milJjonaires who financed the highly tucCessful easiDO test of my SJSle.ll1 tbat is reported in ChapterS.

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The resqlts of the first edition have been ~ al)41. improved by the extensive researches of Iulian Braun Of the IBM corporation. He has made most of the calculations . for tho point-count method and has made numerous detailed an4 \’aluable suggestions. I am grateful to him for allowing his work to be incorporated into the second edi· tion. I particularly wish to thank William B. Walden for tho related work he has done with moon Nevada baccarat. Thanks to Paul O’Neil·for the integrity and journaJis. tic clarity with which he portrayed Beat the Dealer and its author in Life magazine. Thanks also to Life for its courageous stand in printing the truth despite hostile Nevada mobsters and politicos. . I wish to thank many leaden for. their helpful sugp dons, ideas, personal experionces. and testimonials, and for proving the book again and again in theusinos. ,_ Finally, thanks to the readmofthefilst edition of Beat f

Beat the Dealer-Edward O. Thorp

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Beat the dealer : a winning strategy for the game of twenty-one

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Beat the Dealer

outdated but highly valuable , & insightful

I was very reluctant to buy this book because of so many reviews

about this book being outdated but it’s very insightful

the title is beat the dealer and that’s exactly what it teaches and informs you on …not only beating the dealer with counting but also detecting cheats , different methods of cheats and so forth

also gives you idea of how to maneuver in the casinos ….does and don’ts

although this is an old pioneer of literature on card counting most relics are usually useless but this my friend is a useful relic

and you must pay homage to one of the individuals who help legions beat the casinos

if you’re serious about card counting no stone should be left unturned

but I will finish with this, …..this book is not necessary to become good in counting

learning

basic strategy

deck estimation

deviations

keeping the running count and true count conversation

along with proper betting is the key

so practice practice practice

literature like this and many others are just really good at keeping you motivated during down time and not becoming burnt out from training

good variance to you 🙂

Edward O. Thorp

American mathematician

Edward Oakley Thorp (born August 14, 1932) is an American mathematics professor, author, hedge fund manager, and blackjack researcher. He pioneered the modern applications of probability theory, including the harnessing of very small correlations for reliable financial gain.

Thorp is the author of Beat the Dealer, which mathematically proved that the house advantage in blackjack could be overcome by card counting.[1] He also developed and applied effective hedge fund techniques in the financial markets, and collaborated with Claude Shannon in creating the first wearable computer.[2]

Thorp received his Ph.D. in mathematics from the University of California, Los Angeles in 1958, and worked at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) from 1959 to 1961. He was a professor of mathematics from 1961 to 1965 at New Mexico State University, and then joined the University of California, Irvine where he was a professor of mathematics from 1965 to 1977 and a professor of mathematics and finance from 1977 to 1982.[3]

Background [ edit ]

Thorp was born in Chicago, but moved to southern California in his childhood. He had an early aptitude for science, and often tinkered with experiments of his own creation. He was one of the youngest amateur radio operators when he was certified at age 12. Thorp went on to win scholarships by doing well in chemistry and physics competitions (one instance led him to meeting President Truman), ultimately electing to go to UC Berkeley for his undergraduate degree. However, he transferred to UCLA after one year, majoring in physics. This was eventually followed by a PhD in Mathematics at UCLA. He met his future wife Vivian during his first year at UCLA. They married in January 1956.

Computer-aided research in blackjack [ edit ]

Thorp used the IBM 704 as a research tool in order to investigate the probabilities of winning while developing his blackjack game theory, which was based on the Kelly criterion, which he learned about from the 1956 paper by Kelly.[4][5][6][7] He learned Fortran in order to program the equations needed for his theoretical research model on the probabilities of winning at blackjack. Thorp analyzed the game of blackjack to a great extent this way, while devising card counting schemes with the aid of the IBM 704 in order to improve his odds,[8] especially near the end of a card deck that is not being reshuffled after every deal.

Applied research in casinos [ edit ]

Thorp decided to test his theory in practice in Reno, Lake Tahoe, and Las Vegas, Nevada.[6][8][9] Thorp started his applied research using $10,000, with Manny Kimmel, a wealthy professional gambler and former bookmaker,[10] providing the venture capital. First they visited Reno and Lake Tahoe establishments where they tested Thorp’s theory at the local blackjack tables.[9] The experimental results proved successful and his theory was verified since he won $11,000 in a single weekend.[6] Casinos now shuffle a long way before the end of the deck is reached as a countermeasure to his methods. During his Las Vegas casino visits Thorp frequently used disguises such as wraparound glasses and false beards.[9] In addition to the blackjack activities, Thorp had assembled a baccarat team which was also winning.[9]

News quickly spread throughout the gambling community, which was eager for new methods of winning, while Thorp became an instant celebrity among blackjack aficionados. Due to the great demand generated about disseminating his research results to a wider gambling audience, he wrote the book Beat the Dealer in 1966, widely considered the original guide to card counting,[11] which sold over 700,000 copies, a huge number for a specialty title which earned it a place in the New York Times bestseller list, much to the chagrin of Kimmel whose identity was thinly disguised in the book as Mr. X.[6]

Thorp’s blackjack research[12] is one of the very few examples where results from such research reached the public directly, completely bypassing the usual academic peer review process cycle. He has also stated that he considered the whole experiment an academic exercise.[6]

In addition, Thorp, while a professor of mathematics at MIT, met Claude Shannon, and took him and his wife Betty Shannon as partners on weekend forays to Las Vegas to play roulette and blackjack, at which Thorp was very successful.[13] His team’s roulette play was the first instance of using a wearable computer in a casino — something which is now illegal, as of May 30, 1985, when the Nevada devices law came into effect as an emergency measure targeting blackjack and roulette devices.[2][13] The wearable computer was co-developed with Claude Shannon between 1960 and 1961. It relied on a pair of operators, where one would watch the wheel and use his toe to input the cadence of the wheel, and the other would receive a message in the form of musical tones through a hidden earpiece. By betting on groups of neighboring numbers on the wheel they could gain a sufficient advantage to make a profit. The final operating version of the device was tested in Shannon’s home lab at his basement in June 1961.[2] Based on his achievements, Thorp was an inaugural member of the Blackjack Hall of Fame.[14]

He also devised the “Thorp count”, a method for calculating the likelihood of winning in certain endgame positions in backgammon.[15]

Edward O. Thorp’s Real Blackjack was published by Villa Crespo Software in 1990.[16]

Stock market [ edit ]

Since the late 1960s, Thorp has used his knowledge of probability and statistics in the stock market by discovering and exploiting a number of pricing anomalies in the securities markets and has made a significant fortune.[5] Thorp’s first hedge fund was Princeton/Newport Partners from 1969 to 1989 based on Market Neutral Derivatives Hedging. His second hedge fund was called Ridgeline Partners and it ran from August 1994 through September 2002 based on Statistical arbitrage.[13] This hedge fund was closed largely because the return of the statistical arbitrage strategies had been low since 2002. He is currently the President of Edward O. Thorp & Associates, based in Newport Beach, California. In May 1998, Thorp reported that his personal investments yielded an annualized 20 percent rate of return averaged over 28.5 years.[17]

In 1991, Thorp was an early skeptic of Bernie Madoff’s supposedly stellar investing returns which were proved to be a fraud in 2008.[18]

Bibliography [ edit ]

See also [ edit ]

References [ edit ]

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